Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Stastny 55.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 59.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Lindholm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Stastny
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Lindholm
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Lindholm
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
59.2% (370)
-6.8%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
40.9% (44)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
51.7% (58)
-2.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stastny
Home
52.3% (771)
57.7% (215)
Away
53.5% (821)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Lindholm
Stastny
P1
50.7%
57.7%
P2
55.3%
54.2%
P3
54.0%
57.7%
OT
29.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |