Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 34 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 34-29 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 57.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 62.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Lindholm
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
29
(63 meetings)
34
29
Lindholm
Stastny
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
14
Lindholm
Stastny
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
24
10
Lindholm
Stastny
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
5
Lindholm
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
59.1% (1,994)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Stastny
Home
54.1% (5,943)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Lindholm
Stastny
P1
54.1%
56.3%
P2
54.5%
55.4%
P3
53.0%
53.5%
OT
53.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 00:49 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |