Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 54.7%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Greig 53.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 80.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 59.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 61.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Lindholm
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lindholm
Greig
Last 6: Lindholm 4-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Greig
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Lindholm
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
53.6% (280)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
61.3% (31)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
56.5% (69)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Greig
Home
54.4% (688)
56.2% (185)
Away
56.1% (686)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Lindholm
Greig
P1
57.2%
52.8%
P2
54.3%
51.6%
P3
54.2%
59.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |