Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Greig 50.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 74.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 51.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Lindholm
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Greig
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
2
Lindholm
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
51.5% (336)
+2.9%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
66.7% (24)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
43.2% (81)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Greig is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Greig
Home
55.8% (541)
50.2% (247)
Away
54.7% (428)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Lindholm
Greig
P1
54.8%
46.9%
P2
55.7%
58.8%
P3
55.6%
48.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |