Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Greig 48.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 95.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 87.2%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Lindholm
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Lindholm
Greig
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
1
Lindholm
Greig
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
Lindholm
Greig
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
2
Lindholm
Greig
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
48.5% (1,133)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
56.8% (74)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
46.5% (172)
+1.6%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Greig
Home
54.1% (5,943)
49.8% (681)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Lindholm
Greig
P1
54.1%
46.3%
P2
54.5%
51.2%
P3
53.0%
48.8%
OT
53.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:50 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |