Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Thomas 51.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 60.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 65.4%
Neutral zone
Thomas 70.4%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Lindholm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Thomas
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Lindholm
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Lindholm
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
50.1% (615)
+4.3%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
62.2% (98)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
52.6% (114)
-3.2%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thomas
Home
55.8% (541)
51.9% (374)
Away
54.7% (428)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Lindholm
Thomas
P1
54.8%
49.2%
P2
55.7%
55.3%
P3
55.6%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |