Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Thomas 52.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 61.2%
Defensive zone
Thomas 52.7%
Neutral zone
Thomas 59.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Lindholm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Lindholm
Thomas
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Lindholm
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
4
Lindholm
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
53.6% (924)
+4.1%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
55.2% (181)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
44.0% (116)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thomas
Home
55.7% (760)
53.6% (606)
Away
55.8% (778)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Lindholm
Thomas
P1
53.7%
48.2%
P2
58.3%
55.3%
P3
55.1%
55.2%
OT
59.1%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:49 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |