Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Thomas 49.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 67.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 56.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.8%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Lindholm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Lindholm
Thomas
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Lindholm
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
3
Lindholm
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
49.0% (910)
+3.4%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
53.5% (142)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
53.3% (75)
-3.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Lindholm shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thomas
Home
52.3% (771)
47.3% (514)
Away
53.5% (821)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Lindholm
Thomas
P1
50.7%
50.4%
P2
55.3%
47.5%
P3
54.0%
51.4%
OT
29.6%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |