Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Thomas 52.9% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 60.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 53.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 62.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Lindholm
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Lindholm
Thomas
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Lindholm
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Thomas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
53.2% (1,166)
+4.1%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
56.9% (262)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
48.4% (221)
+0.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thomas
Home
55.2% (667)
51.6% (830)
Away
57.5% (669)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Lindholm
Thomas
P1
54.7%
52.7%
P2
55.5%
55.6%
P3
58.5%
50.6%
OT
64.7%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.4%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |