Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 49.4% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 51.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 67.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 60.9%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lindholm
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Carpenter
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
4
Lindholm
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (570)
46.2% (474)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.6% (95)
28.6% (7)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
32.6% (129)
+11.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Lindholm shoots right. Carpenter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carpenter
Home
49.8% (402)
46.5% (303)
Away
48.9% (399)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Lindholm
Carpenter
P1
50.0%
44.2%
P2
46.9%
40.4%
P3
49.0%
44.2%
OT
75.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
49.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 13:57 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |