Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 71.1%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 53.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Lindholm
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
48.8% (404)
+8.5%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
100.0% (1)
-38.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
43.6% (101)
+5.5%
On power play, Carpenter has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carpenter
Home
55.2% (667)
48.9% (274)
Away
57.5% (669)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Lindholm
Carpenter
P1
54.7%
51.9%
P2
55.5%
49.4%
P3
58.5%
41.8%
OT
64.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%