Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 69.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Lindholm
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
53.2% (299)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
33.3% (3)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
46.5% (86)
+3.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Lindholm shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carpenter
Home
52.3% (771)
54.6% (207)
Away
53.5% (821)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Lindholm
Carpenter
P1
50.7%
52.3%
P2
55.3%
51.5%
P3
54.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%