Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 51.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 56.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Lindholm
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
53.1% (113)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
100.0% (1)
-47.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
60.0% (10)
-11.4%
On power play, Carpenter has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Lindholm shoots right. Carpenter is 61.1% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carpenter
Home
55.7% (760)
58.5% (65)
Away
55.8% (778)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Lindholm
Carpenter
P1
53.7%
65.8%
P2
58.3%
50.0%
P3
55.1%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%