Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Lindholm 4-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
45.4% (527)
+12.3%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
41.2% (17)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
44.9% (138)
+3.7%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.7% (760)
46.1% (336)
Away
55.8% (778)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.7%
49.1%
P2
58.3%
45.3%
P3
55.1%
42.0%
OT
59.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |