Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 52.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 56.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
47.6% (231)
+6.8%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
83.3% (12)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
33.3% (21)
+16.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.8% (541)
51.2% (164)
Away
54.7% (428)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
46.2%
P3
55.6%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |