Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 34 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 57-31 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 93.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 94.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 91.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
31
(88 meetings)
57
31
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
27
7
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
11
8
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
19
16
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,505)
44.9% (8,756)
+8.9%
Power Play
59.3% (1,734)
50.7% (839)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,610)
37.9% (879)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,111).
Lindholm shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
54.1% (5,943)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
53.6% (5,906)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Lindholm
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
45.1%
P2
54.5%
43.9%
P3
53.0%
45.3%
OT
53.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 12:20 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |