Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 14-3 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 69.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 77.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Lindholm
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
14
(17 meetings)
3
14
Lindholm
Couturier
Last 10: Lindholm 2-8 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
6
Lindholm
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
Lindholm
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Lindholm
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
53.8% (1,003)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
56.4% (202)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
42.7% (89)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Couturier
Home
55.2% (667)
54.4% (680)
Away
57.5% (669)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Lindholm
Couturier
P1
54.7%
56.3%
P2
55.5%
51.8%
P3
58.5%
52.2%
OT
64.7%
60.9%
Final 5 min
53.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 05:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |