Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 59.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 81.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Lindholm
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Lindholm
Couturier
Last 10: Lindholm 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
7
Lindholm
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Lindholm
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
53.4% (758)
+1.0%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
62.9% (70)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
50.7% (227)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Couturier
Home
55.8% (541)
50.7% (517)
Away
54.7% (428)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Lindholm
Couturier
P1
54.8%
55.2%
P2
55.7%
53.0%
P3
55.6%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |