Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.2% vs 56.1%). Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Couturier 55.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 50.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 52.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Lindholm
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lindholm
Couturier
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Lindholm
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
2
Lindholm
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
55.1% (1,008)
-0.2%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
64.1% (142)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
53.3% (45)
-3.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lindholm is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,115).
Lindholm shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Couturier
Home
54.4% (688)
58.1% (609)
Away
56.1% (686)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Lindholm
Couturier
P1
57.2%
55.3%
P2
54.3%
55.8%
P3
54.2%
57.4%
OT
54.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:22 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |