Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Thompson 46.5% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 67.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lindholm
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
46.1% (484)
+7.4%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
48.4% (91)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
30.0% (20)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lindholm is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
55.5% (431)
47.9% (313)
Away
52.7% (298)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
52.3%
50.5%
P2
54.8%
44.6%
P3
56.3%
42.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |