Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 55.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lindholm
Thompson
Last 9: Lindholm 4-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
5
Lindholm
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
44.6% (709)
+12.7%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
41.5% (53)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
35.1% (97)
+14.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
55.2% (667)
45.5% (426)
Away
57.5% (669)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
54.7%
48.5%
P2
55.5%
43.8%
P3
58.5%
38.1%
OT
64.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |