Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.9% vs Thompson 43.7% (+12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 92.0%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 94.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 88.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 91.7%
91.7%
8.3%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lindholm
Thompson
Last 9: Lindholm 7-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (937)
41.9% (597)
+13.0%
Power Play
60.4% (265)
50.5% (95)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (172)
25.0% (12)
+24.4%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lindholm is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
54.4% (688)
47.1% (367)
Away
56.1% (686)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
57.2%
44.2%
P2
54.3%
41.6%
P3
54.2%
42.9%
OT
54.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |