Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Thompson 45.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lindholm
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
44.9% (642)
+9.5%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
47.9% (94)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
33.3% (33)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
55.8% (541)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.7% (428)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
54.8%
48.1%
P2
55.7%
44.9%
P3
55.6%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |