Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 45.8% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 63.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 66.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 61.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Nelson
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Pettersson
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Nelson
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (735)
50.4% (698)
-4.3%
Power Play
34.5% (29)
63.2% (57)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
30.4% (23)
40.9% (44)
-10.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Nelson shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Nelson
Pettersson
Home
48.7% (419)
50.7% (420)
Away
41.3% (368)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Nelson
Pettersson
P1
44.6%
48.0%
P2
47.3%
47.6%
P3
43.0%
57.5%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
39.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |