Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Pettersson 45.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 92.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 80.9%
80.9%
19.1%
Ryan
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Ryan
Pettersson
Last 7: Ryan 6-1 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Pettersson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
43.9% (494)
+16.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.7% (35)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
45.5% (11)
-2.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Ryan
Pettersson
Home
56.7% (254)
45.5% (290)
Away
55.0% (258)
42.4% (250)
By Period
Ryan
Pettersson
P1
56.9%
40.2%
P2
51.7%
43.9%
P3
59.2%
48.8%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 12:47 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |