Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs McBain 50.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 51.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 66.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 64.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pettersson
McBain
Last 5: Pettersson 3-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Pettersson
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
52.6% (504)
-8.8%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
50.0% (12)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
33.3% (42)
+2.6%
On even strength, McBain has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
48.3% (453)
51.8% (251)
Away
43.4% (495)
50.5% (307)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
44.7%
50.9%
P2
46.0%
53.9%
P3
46.4%
48.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |