Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McBain 50.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 66.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 53.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 50.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pettersson
McBain
Last 9: Pettersson 4-5 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
2
5
Pettersson
McBain
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
52.1% (545)
-6.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
57.1% (14)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
37.0% (46)
-1.5%
On even strength, McBain has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
49.3% (584)
52.2% (289)
Away
44.5% (555)
50.0% (316)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
45.8%
52.6%
P2
47.9%
53.6%
P3
47.1%
47.1%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |