Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs McBain 49.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 55.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 52.6%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
McBain
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Pettersson
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
51.2% (424)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
46.2% (13)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
27.3% (22)
+24.6%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
48.1% (489)
53.6% (235)
Away
46.9% (475)
46.0% (224)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
47.4%
48.6%
P2
48.3%
50.9%
P3
46.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jack McBain |