Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs McBain 45.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 56.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 65.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 56.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
McBain
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Pettersson
McBain
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
46.3% (568)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
37.5% (8)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
37.8% (74)
+3.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
50.7% (420)
50.6% (330)
Away
50.9% (379)
39.7% (320)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
48.0%
45.4%
P2
47.6%
44.5%
P3
57.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jack McBain |