Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 44.0%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs McBain 44.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 77.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Pettersson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Pettersson
McBain
Last 9: Pettersson 7-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
1
Pettersson
McBain
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
45.3% (675)
-1.2%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
50.0% (16)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
37.6% (149)
-2.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McBain
Home
45.0% (489)
45.5% (437)
Away
43.7% (508)
42.4% (403)
By Period
Pettersson
McBain
P1
46.0%
43.5%
P2
45.7%
44.0%
P3
42.2%
45.0%
OT
23.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:21 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |