Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 65.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 70.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Pettersson
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
46.1% (256)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
47.5% (122)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
16.7% (6)
+35.2%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
48.1% (489)
49.3% (201)
Away
46.9% (475)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
47.4%
49.6%
P2
48.3%
45.6%
P3
46.6%
41.6%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |