Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.0%). Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 65.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 52.8%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pettersson
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pettersson
Guentzel
Last 7: Pettersson 3-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
3
Pettersson
Guentzel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
46.3% (685)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
45.7% (291)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
42.9% (42)
-4.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
46.8% (2,734)
48.3% (544)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
44.7%
47.8%
P2
46.0%
45.2%
P3
47.4%
45.3%
OT
39.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |