Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.0% vs 46.0%). Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 46.0% vs Guentzel 46.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Guentzel 65.9%
Defensive zone Pettersson 73.7%
Neutral zone Guentzel 52.8%
Result Jake Guentzel favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Pettersson Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 4 (7 meetings)
3
4
Pettersson Guentzel
Last 7: Pettersson 3-4 Guentzel

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
3
Pettersson Guentzel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson Guentzel
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
46.3% (685)
-1.0%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
45.7% (291)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
42.9% (42)
-4.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
46.8% (2,734)
48.3% (544)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
44.7%
47.8%
P2
46.0%
45.2%
P3
47.4%
45.3%
OT
39.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
42.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%
50.5%
46.0%
Guentzel
44.0%
43.5%
46.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 19, 2026 3 07:36 Neutral Jake Guentzel
Nov 16, 2025 3 15:14 Offensive Jake Guentzel
Nov 16, 2025 3 03:43 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 16, 2025 2 16:44 Offensive Jake Guentzel
Nov 16, 2025 2 14:13 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Dec 8, 2024 2 01:06 Offensive Jake Guentzel
Oct 15, 2024 1 08:21 Defensive Elias Pettersson