Elias Pettersson vs Jake Guentzel
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.6%). Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Guentzel 47.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 61.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 62.7%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 53.8%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Pettersson
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pettersson
Guentzel
Last 5: Pettersson 2-3 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
1
2
Pettersson
Guentzel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Pettersson
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
49.0% (200)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
42.3% (111)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
45.8% (24)
-10.3%
On power play, Pettersson has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Pettersson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Guentzel
Home
49.3% (584)
48.8% (166)
Away
44.5% (555)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Pettersson
Guentzel
P1
45.8%
46.7%
P2
47.9%
48.5%
P3
47.1%
44.3%
OT
47.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |