Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Pageau 55.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 53.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 76.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pettersson
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
57.1% (905)
-6.7%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
55.2% (116)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
48.0% (204)
-7.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
50.7% (420)
57.0% (618)
Away
50.9% (379)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
48.0%
54.4%
P2
47.6%
61.0%
P3
57.5%
51.0%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
50.8%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |