Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.8% vs Pageau 54.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 57.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 83.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Pettersson
Pageau
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
0
Pettersson
Pageau
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
5
Pettersson
Pageau
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Pettersson
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (4,409)
55.7% (9,301)
-10.7%
Power Play
55.0% (513)
56.8% (989)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (234)
49.5% (2,019)
-10.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,679).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,648).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
46.5% (2,603)
56.3% (6,136)
Away
44.9% (2,553)
53.2% (6,173)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
44.5%
54.7%
P2
45.6%
56.2%
P3
47.3%
53.3%
OT
40.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 3 | 05:34 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |