Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Pageau 58.8% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 73.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pettersson
Pageau
Last 9: Pettersson 5-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Pettersson
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
59.2% (502)
-15.4%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
69.6% (23)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
61.3% (163)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
48.3% (453)
59.5% (299)
Away
43.4% (495)
60.4% (389)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
44.7%
55.3%
P2
46.0%
62.2%
P3
46.4%
61.1%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |