Elias Pettersson vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Pageau 58.8% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 60.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 84.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 71.4%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Pettersson
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Pettersson
Pageau
Last 9: Pettersson 5-4 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
4
Pettersson
Pageau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
59.1% (687)
-13.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
69.4% (36)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
60.1% (213)
-24.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Pageau
Home
49.3% (584)
57.8% (377)
Away
44.5% (555)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Pettersson
Pageau
P1
45.8%
54.1%
P2
47.9%
62.1%
P3
47.1%
61.8%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:15 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |