Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Carter 56.4% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 52.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 86.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 75.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Pettersson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pettersson
Carter
Last 5: Pettersson 3-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
0
Pettersson
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pettersson
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pettersson
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
57.9% (885)
-14.0%
Power Play
45.7% (35)
61.7% (133)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
45.4% (119)
+0.1%
On power play, Carter has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carter
Home
45.5% (290)
58.2% (543)
Away
42.4% (250)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Pettersson
Carter
P1
40.2%
57.5%
P2
43.9%
57.1%
P3
48.8%
55.8%
OT
42.9%
68.2%
Final 5 min
37.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.1%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |