Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Carter 58.5% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 84.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 52.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 71.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Pettersson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pettersson
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Pettersson
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Pettersson
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
59.7% (727)
-15.6%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
68.1% (72)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
53.2% (139)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pettersson is 38.0% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Pettersson shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carter
Home
45.0% (489)
58.7% (455)
Away
43.7% (508)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Pettersson
Carter
P1
46.0%
61.3%
P2
45.7%
57.1%
P3
42.2%
59.8%
OT
23.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.0%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |