Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Carter 60.1% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 72.0%
28.0%
72.0%
Pettersson
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Pettersson
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
65.6% (262)
-15.2%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
68.3% (63)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
50.5% (99)
-9.6%
On even strength, Carter has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carter
Home
50.7% (420)
64.3% (207)
Away
50.9% (379)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Pettersson
Carter
P1
48.0%
65.3%
P2
47.6%
60.1%
P3
57.5%
63.8%
OT
30.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |