Elias Pettersson vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Barzal 41.4% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 68.4%
Defensive zone
Barzal 60.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 60.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Pettersson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Pettersson
Barzal
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Pettersson
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Pettersson
Barzal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
40.4% (463)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
34.2% (38)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
28.6% (7)
+6.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Barzal is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Barzal
Home
49.3% (584)
38.1% (244)
Away
44.5% (555)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Pettersson
Barzal
P1
45.8%
46.6%
P2
47.9%
35.7%
P3
47.1%
37.7%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |