Elias Pettersson vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Barzal 42.2% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 52.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 50.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 51.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Pettersson
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Pettersson
Barzal
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Pettersson
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
4
Pettersson
Barzal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
41.9% (3,565)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
43.4% (205)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
42.3% (26)
-3.6%
On power play, Pettersson has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Barzal
Home
46.8% (2,734)
43.1% (1,895)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Pettersson
Barzal
P1
44.7%
40.7%
P2
46.0%
44.4%
P3
47.4%
41.0%
OT
39.7%
27.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:29 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |