Elias Pettersson vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs McCarron 52.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 77.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 56.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Pettersson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Pettersson
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Pettersson
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
54.5% (618)
-4.1%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
42.1% (19)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
35.3% (34)
+5.6%
On power play, Pettersson has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Pettersson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Pettersson shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McCarron
Home
50.7% (420)
52.2% (339)
Away
50.9% (379)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Pettersson
McCarron
P1
48.0%
53.5%
P2
47.6%
50.6%
P3
57.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |