Elias Pettersson vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs McCarron 52.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 89.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 53.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 78.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Pettersson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Pettersson
McCarron
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
7
1
Pettersson
McCarron
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
10
Pettersson
McCarron
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
4
Pettersson
McCarron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
53.4% (2,901)
-8.1%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
45.3% (86)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
50.5% (463)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McCarron
Home
46.8% (2,734)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Pettersson
McCarron
P1
44.7%
53.9%
P2
46.0%
52.5%
P3
47.4%
52.0%
OT
39.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |