Elias Pettersson vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs McCarron 52.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 64.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Pettersson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Pettersson
McCarron
Last 10: Pettersson 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
6
0
Pettersson
McCarron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
5
Pettersson
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
53.1% (672)
-7.2%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
18.2% (11)
+37.2%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
53.7% (205)
-18.2%
On power play, Pettersson has a +37.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McCarron
Home
49.3% (584)
52.8% (477)
Away
44.5% (555)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Pettersson
McCarron
P1
45.8%
56.5%
P2
47.9%
53.2%
P3
47.1%
49.0%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |