Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Marner 43.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 72.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 70.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 74.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Pettersson
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pettersson
Marner
Last 6: Pettersson 5-1 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Marner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Marner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Marner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (790)
41.5% (282)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.4% (242)
40.0% (5)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (107)
25.0% (12)
+10.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Pettersson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Pettersson shoots left. Marner is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Marner
Home
49.3% (584)
36.1% (158)
Away
44.5% (555)
46.1% (141)
By Period
Pettersson
Marner
P1
45.8%
41.6%
P2
47.9%
40.2%
P3
47.1%
40.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |