Elias Pettersson vs Mitch Marner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Marner 43.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 61.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Pettersson
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pettersson
Marner
Last 7: Pettersson 5-2 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Marner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Marner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Marner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,569)
42.2% (462)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.6% (540)
55.6% (18)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (238)
35.4% (65)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,755).
Pettersson shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Marner
Home
46.8% (2,734)
38.2% (293)
Away
45.1% (2,613)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Pettersson
Marner
P1
44.7%
39.1%
P2
46.0%
41.1%
P3
47.4%
47.1%
OT
39.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |