Scouting Report
Mitch Marner holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 38.5% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 45.0% vs Marner 50.8% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.1%
Defensive zone
Marner 54.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 54.5%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Pettersson
Marner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (494)
57.1% (7)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
54.5% (11)
-9.0%
On even strength, Marner has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Pettersson is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Pettersson shoots left. Marner is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Marner
Home
45.5% (290)
44.4% (9)
Away
42.4% (250)
66.7% (9)
By Period
Pettersson
Marner
P1
40.2%
80.0%
P2
43.9%
44.4%
P3
48.8%
33.3%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.1%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
55.6%