Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Marner 44.8% (+18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marner 54.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Marner 53.4%
Result
Mitch Marner favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Pettersson
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Pettersson
Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
1
Pettersson
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
33.3% (24)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
20.0% (10)
+31.9%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Pettersson is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pettersson shoots left. Marner is 23.5% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Marner
Home
48.1% (489)
16.7% (18)
Away
46.9% (475)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Pettersson
Marner
P1
47.4%
10.0%
P2
48.3%
35.7%
P3
46.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
29.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |