Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 59.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 78.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Pettersson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Pettersson
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
53.8% (753)
-9.7%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
58.9% (90)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
47.4% (78)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Paul
Home
45.0% (489)
54.2% (450)
Away
43.7% (508)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Pettersson
Paul
P1
46.0%
58.2%
P2
45.7%
50.6%
P3
42.2%
52.9%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |