Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Paul 50.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 58.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Pettersson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Pettersson
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pettersson
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Pettersson
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
48.8% (666)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
53.8% (65)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
60.0% (55)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Paul
Home
48.1% (489)
49.7% (348)
Away
46.9% (475)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Pettersson
Paul
P1
47.4%
51.0%
P2
48.3%
47.4%
P3
46.6%
51.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |