Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Paul 53.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 57.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 57.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Pettersson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pettersson
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Pettersson
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
53.1% (710)
-2.7%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
57.3% (199)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
58.0% (69)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Paul
Home
50.7% (420)
56.0% (466)
Away
50.9% (379)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Pettersson
Paul
P1
48.0%
57.2%
P2
47.6%
54.9%
P3
57.5%
51.5%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |